Windy City Media Group Frontpage News Home
CELEBRATING 28+ YEARS OF Lesbian Gay Bisexual and Transgender NEWS

Search Gay News Articles
Advanced Search
Gay News Sponsor Windy City Times 2014-10-29
Download Issue
  News Index       Archives   About WCMG    Publications    Bars & Clubs     Calendar   Videos   Advertisers    OUT! Guide    Classifieds   AIDS @ 32
 Local | National | World | Politics | Obits | Profiles | Views | Entertainment | Theater | Dance | Music | Film | Art | Books | TV/Gossip
 Travel | History | Marriage | Youth | Trans | Lesbian | Celebrations | Food | Nightlife | Sports | Health | Real Estate | Autos | Pets | Crime

Sponsor
Sidetrack becomes jungle with 'Animal Queendom' Sidetrack becomes jungle
with 'Animal Queendom'
Miller Lite presented the 22nd Annual Night of 100 Drag Queens, this ...

Browse Gay News Index   Browse Gay News Archives
  Windy City Times    Download PDF Issue

The LGBT guide to election night 2012
ELECTIONS 2012
by Lisa Keen, Keen News Service
2012-10-31

facebook twitter pin it del.icio.us stumble upon digg google +1 reddit email


It's a close race for the White House, a close race for Tammy Baldwin's bid to the U.S. Senate, five unpredictable outcomes on marriage-related votes and an openly gay caucus in Congress that could total either three or six by the end of the evening.

The stakes and the consequences of the results are so high that many LGBT people will be staying up late Nov. 6 to watch it all unfold.

The National Election Pool, a coalition of mainstream media organizations who conduct exit polling in order to project results, is doing things differently this year to accommodate the increase in early voting. They predict, as a result of their modifications, projections may trickle out more slowly this year than in the past. But this guide will give political enthusiasts some idea of when the most important results will start becoming apparent.

6 p.m. Central

Polls close in the first six states, including the crucial swing state of Virginia. All six states hold a total of 60 electoral votes and, chances are, 44 will go to Romney and three to Obama. The wild card is Virginia, a state with 13 electoral votes that has been hard to predict for weeks. If those votes go to Romney, Democrats will need to get a drink. But if they go to Obama, Republicans might start pacing. Another important race in Virginia will be the outcome of the race for Virginia's open U.S. Senate seat: If pro-gay Democrat Tim Kaine wins, another sigh of relief, but if anti-gay George Allen wins, Democrats will have to start worrying about the majority in the Senate.

Best-case scenario: Romney wins Indiana, Kentucky, Georgia, South Carolina and Obama wins Vermont and Virginia.

Electoral count: Romney 44, Obama 16

Senate marker: Good news if Kaine beats Allen

6:30 p.m. Central

The most important news to listen for at 6:30 p.m. is who's winning Ohio. This has become perhaps the most important of the battleground states and its 18 electoral votes are seen as absolutely critical to Romney's chances of counting up to 270—the total electoral votes needed to win the White House.

Best-case scenario: Romney wins North Carolina and West Virginia, Obama wins Ohio

Electoral count: Romney 64, Obama 34

7 p.m. Central

Seven o'clock is when the big kahuna of electoral votes comes flooding in—210 in all. Of those, 96 are expected to go to Obama, including 20 from Illinois. Romney is likely to pick up 81, including 38 from Texas. The big question is who will pick up Florida's 29 and New Hampshire's four.

Also at 7 p.m., polls close in Maine and Maryland, where voters are being asked to determine whether the state can begin issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples. LGBT supporters want a "Yes" vote on Question 1 in Maine and a "Yes" for Question 6 in Maryland.

And the Senate race between incumbent Republican Scott Brown and Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren has been seen as a very important factor in determining who will control the Senate.

Likely scenario: Romney 174, Obama 134

Best-case scenario: Maine votes "Yes" on Question 1 and Maryland votes "Yes" on Question 6

Best Senate scenario: Warren beats Brown

Best House scenario: Openly gay U.S. Rep. David Cicilline wins re-election from Rhode Island and openly gay Richard Tisei wins his bid for a U.S. House seat from Massachusetts' 6th Congressional district, becoming the only openly gay Republican in Congress.

7:30 p.m. Central

Arkansas' six electoral votes will almost certainly go to Romney.

Likely scenario: Romney 180, Obama 134

8 p.m. Central

At 8 is when the second largest number of electoral votes come online. Romney will likely pick up 30, Obama will pick up 60. The question marks are Wisconsin and Colorado, with 10 and nine respectively.

Add to Wisconsin this twist: Liberal openly gay U.S. Rep. Tammy Baldwin has a real chance of becoming the first openly gay person to be elected to the U.S. Senate. She's in a very tight race against popular former Governor Tommy Thompson.

And add to Minnesota, with 10 electoral votes, hosting a vote on a ballot measure—Proposed Amendment No. 1—to amend the state's constitution to ban same-sex marriage. Except for the ballot measure, which can attract a large turnout from conservatives, Minnesota can lean Obama.

Best-case scenario: Romney 210, Obama 213

Best Senate scenario: Baldwin wins

Likely scenario: Minnesota votes "Yes" for Proposed Amendment 1

Best-case scenario: Openly gay State Rep. Marc Pacon wins Baldwin's old seat, openly gay U.S. Rep. Jared Polis wins re-election from Colorado, newcomer Sean Maloney wins a U.S. House seat from New York's 18th District, and newcomer Kyrsten Sinema wins the U.S. House seat from Arizona's 9th.

9 p.m. Central

Only 27 electoral votes are up on the boards after 10 and Romney has a good hold on 15 of them. Up for grabs are six electoral votes in Iowa and six in Nevada. Obama has campaigned heavily in both states and has a good chance to pull those to his column.

Also of interest is the vote on Iowa Supreme Court Justice David Wiggins who—like three colleagues before him—must survive a retention vote but one in which anti-gay forces are determined to oust him.

Best-case scenario: Romney 225, Obama 235

Best-case scenario: Wiggins wins

10 p.m. Central

This is the hour when, if all goes well in the first three hours, President Obama takes the White House with the electoral escort of California's 55 electoral votes, putting him well over the 270 needed. In fact, at 10 p.m., Obama will likely rake in 78 electoral votes—from California, Washington, Oregon, and Hawaii. Romney will pick up a total of only seven from North Dakota and Idaho.

Also of interest in this hour will be the vote in Washington state on Referendum 74. A "Yes" vote will preserve a marriage-equality law the legislature passed earlier this year.

Best-case scenario: Romney 232, Obama 313 and secures the White House

Best-case scenario: Washington votes "Yes" for Referendum 74

Best-case scenario: Openly gay Democrat Mark Takano wins the U.S. House seat for California District 41, representing southern California. His victory could, if Mark Pacon wins Baldwin's seat, bring the openly gay caucus in Congress back up to four (with the loss of retiring Rep. Barney Frank and Senate hopeful Tammy Baldwin)

11 p.m. Central

Alaska's three electoral votes will come in for Romney, but the party will be over.

Best-case scenario: Romney 235, Obama 313

©2012 Keen News Service. All rights reserved.


facebook twitter pin it del.icio.us stumble upon digg google +1 reddit email




Windy City Media Group does not approve or necessarily
agree with the views posted below.
Please do not post letters to the editor here.
Please also be civil in your dialogue.
If you need to be mean, just know that the longer you
stay on this page, the more you help us.

ELECTIONS 2014 Marriage equality: How they voted 2014-10-29
ELECTIONS 2014 Out gay candidate contends in suburbs 2014-10-29
ELECTIONS 2014: COMPTROLLER Topinka vies for second term 2014-10-29
Elton visits John Kerry; anti-Cory Booker mishap; Apple CEO 2014-10-29
Who are YOU voting for? 2014-10-29
Brad Schneider challenges foe on rhetoric vs. record 2014-10-29
ELECTIONS 2014 Guide to the gays 2014-10-29
ELECTIONS 2014 Printable Election Guide Charts; voting info 2014-10-29
Strict ID laws could hinder trans voters 2014-10-29
Global HIV conference; Chinese ad; D&G found not guilty 2014-10-28
Eight states to watch in Senate elections 2014-10-28
Oberweis: Would support federal marriage equality law 2014-10-23
ELECTIONS 2014: Simon faces challenge in comptroller race 2014-10-22
Early voting; HRC scores congress; alderman not running 2014-10-22
ELECTIONS 2014 Guide to the gays 2014-10-22
ELECTIONS 2014 Printable Election Guide Charts 2014-10-22
ELECTION PREVIEW: LGBT races to watch 2014-10-21
Cuomo's AIDS task force; 'drag queen' comment; Jazz Jennings 2014-10-21
Ellen's show in Asia; OutGames' campaign; 2018 Gay Games 2014-10-21
Mexico protest; Milk Foundation in Hungary; Vatican shift 2014-10-14
Task Force changes name; marriage news; Notre Dame 2014-10-14
NUNN ON ONE: MUSIC Sinead O'Connor takes us to 'Church' 2014-10-14
EqIL PAC announces endorsements 2014-10-14
Turkey gets its first umbrella LGBTI organization 2014-10-13
HRC scorecard for Congress: Record gains for LGBT equality 2014-10-09
Harris fundraiser celebrates victories, looks ahead 2014-10-07
Denmark's anniversary; Judas Priest's gay situation 2014-10-07
Equality Illinois endorses Madigan, White, Topinka 2014-10-07
Open To Thinking: It's Your Money: Illinois 2014-10-01
World news: Gay Times' icons; Russia court upholds LGBT ban 2014-09-30
Houston mayor on prize list; pol comes out; Orman backs Warren 2014-09-30
UN Human Rights Council votes to support LGBT rights 2014-09-26
U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder to step down 2014-09-25
Equality Illinois PAC endorses Quinn 2014-09-24
Lesbian-feminist Mab Segrest on Ferguson, race, civil rights 2014-09-24
Tom Daley's gig; man convicted of drinking Baileys 2014-09-23
Polis tries ENDA discharge petition 2014-09-17
Preckwinkle backers gather to support re-election bid 2014-09-17
Gender working group seeks submissions; Quigley has new liaison 2014-09-17
Nat'l HIV/AIDS, Aging Awareness Day; Richmond, Va.'s, pitch 2014-09-16





Copyright © 2014 Windy City Media Group. All rights reserved.
Reprint by permission only. PDFs for back issues are downloadable from
our online archives. Single copies of back issues in print form are
available for $4 per issue, older than one month for $6 if available,
by check to the mailing address listed below.

Return postage must accompany all manuscripts, drawings, and
photographs submitted if they are to be returned, and no
responsibility may be assumed for unsolicited materials.
All rights to letters, art and photos sent to Nightspots
(Chicago GLBT Nightlife News) and Windy City Times (a Chicago
Gay and Lesbian News and Feature Publication) will be treated
as unconditionally assigned for publication purposes and as such,
subject to editing and comment. The opinions expressed by the
columnists, cartoonists, letter writers, and commentators are
their own and do not necessarily reflect the position of Nightspots
(Chicago GLBT Nightlife News) and Windy City Times (a Chicago Gay,
Lesbian, Bisexual and Transegender News and Feature Publication).

The appearance of a name, image or photo of a person or group in
Nightspots (Chicago GLBT Nightlife News) and Windy City Times
(a Chicago Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual and Transgender News and Feature
Publication) does not indicate the sexual orientation of such
individuals or groups. While we encourage readers to support the
advertisers who make this newspaper possible, Nightspots (Chicago
GLBT Nightlife News) and Windy City Times (a Chicago Gay, Lesbian
News and Feature Publication) cannot accept responsibility for
any advertising claims or promotions.

 

 

 

Sponsor
Sponsor
Sponsor
Sponsor


 

PASSAGES Former Chicagoan Steven Moore dies
 
Strict ID laws could hinder trans voters
 
Neil Patrick news; 'Freeheld' has problem; 'Divas Simply Singing'
 
Music, radio are David Polk's passion, profession
 
Luxury consignment spot launches in Gold Coast
 
Windy City Times Current DownloadNightspots Current DownloadQueercast Current Download
Windy City Media Group BlogsJoin Our Email List!Donate Now
Sponsor


Sponsor

  News Index       Archives   About WCMG    Publications    Bars & Clubs     Calendar   Videos   Advertisers    OUT! Guide    Classifieds   AIDS @ 32
 Local | National | World | Politics | Obits | Profiles | Views | Entertainment | Theater | Dance | Music | Film | Art | Books | TV/Gossip
 Travel | History | Marriage | Youth | Trans | Lesbian | Celebrations | Food | Nightlife | Sports | Health | Real Estate | Autos | Pets | Crime



About WCMG      Contact Us      Online Front  Page      Windy City  Times      Nightspots      OUT! Guide     
Identity      BLACKlines      En La Vida      Archives      Subscriptions      Distribution      Windy City Queercast     
Queercast Archives      Advertising  Rates      Deadlines      Advanced Search     
Press  Releases      Event Photos      Join WCMG  Email List      Email Blast     
Upcoming Events      Todays Events      Ongoing Events      Post an Event      Bar Guide      Community Groups      In Memoriam      Outguide Categories      Outguide Advertisers      Search Outguide      Travel      Dining Out      Blogs      Spotlight  Video      News Videos      Nightspots Videos      Entertainment Videos      Queercast Videos      Comedy Videos     
Classifieds      Real Estate      Place a  Classified     

Windy City Media Group produces Windy City Queercast, & publishes Windy City Times,
The Weekly Voice of the Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual and Trans Community,
Nightspots, Out! Resource Guide, and Identity.
5315 N. Clark St. #192, Chicago, IL 60640-2113 • PH (773) 871-7610 • FAX (773) 871-7609.